DeansMusings

 In my last blogpost of 10 June, I made several predictions. https://rpdeans.blogspot.com/2024/06/the-gaza-war-part-5-what-next.html - Operations in Gaza will be largely over by the end of August. - IDF casualties in Gaza have been falling for some time, notwithstanding an increase in May,   and though Hamas has been trying to defend its last remaining strongholds.   - Two IDF divisions will handle Gaza, with a model similar to the West bank. All IDF units under    Israel’s  northern command will be moved to the North, for possible operations against Hezbollah,    after getting battle experience in Gaza. - It was not in Netanyahu’s interest to reach a ceasefire or hostages deal with Hamas, without fully   neutralizing Hamas’s in Gaza. To avoid a deal, Hezbollah will be provoked in a bid to increase   tensions and scuttle a deal. - Ground operations against Hezbollah could begin in Sept. Until then Israel can wage attritional warfare because unlike in 2006, the exchange rati

  Indian national security and defense .  Kashmir - 5 years after article 370   Agnipath scheme - An analysis The trade deficit with China Is RAW the new Mossad Pakistan's economic implosion and Kashmir Water wars - The Indus water treaty Reassessing the Chinese threat Kashmir - way forward after 370 abrogation (2019 article) Pakistan's CPEX delusion. 2016 article Indian startups: Ed tech - the real opportunity Joining a startup ? Startup culture. India vs US (guest post) The coming unicorn meltdown The problem with delivery apps Why coffee chains are (still) not profitable - 2015 article Gaza War Gaza war part 1. What Israel's invasion might look like Gaza war, Part 2, Understanding the numbers Gaza war. Part 3. 100 day update Gaza war part 4. Israel's turnaround Gaza war part 5. June 24 update Gaza war part 6. One war ends. A new war begins ? Ukraine war Ukraine, Part 1. Understanding the numbers Ukraine war part 2. Artillery Ukraine war. Part 3. Missed opportunities