DeansMusings

 In my last blogpost of 10 June, I made several predictions. https://rpdeans.blogspot.com/2024/06/the-gaza-war-part-5-what-next.html - Operations in Gaza will be largely over by the end of August. - IDF casualties in Gaza have been falling for some time, notwithstanding an increase in May,   and though Hamas has been trying to defend its last remaining strongholds.   - Two IDF divisions will handle Gaza, with a model similar to the West bank. All IDF units under    Israel’s  northern command will be moved to the North, for possible operations against Hezbollah,    after getting battle experience in Gaza. - It was not in Netanyahu’s interest to reach a ceasefire or hostages deal with Hamas, without fully   neutralizing Hamas’s in Gaza. To avoid a deal, Hezbollah will be provoked in a bid to increase   tensions and scuttle a deal. - Ground operations against Hezbollah could begin in Sept. Until then Israel can wage attritional ...

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