List of articles

I decided to write this after an unprecedented number of people – all senior figures in Anti India terrorist groups, were killed by `unknown gunmen’ in Pakistan. There is speculation about the possible role of the Indian external intelligence agency RAW. While most of the publicity around these deaths has focused on the killing of Hardeep Singh Nijjar in Canada, there were a larger number of deaths in Pakistan, most of whom who were more of a `clear and present’ danger to India than Nijjar and protected by the Pakistan establishment. How likely is it that RAW was behind these? I will focus on the unexplained shootings in the last year, of those wanted and India and based in Pakistan (though two were killed outside Pakistan. This is the list, starting with the most recent: 11 Nov Maulana Raheem Ulla Tariq . Jaish-e-Mohammed (JeM). Shot in Karachi. 9 Nov Akram Khan Ghazi . Lashkar-e-Taiba (LeT). Shot in Kyber Pakhtunkhwa 6 Nov Khwaja Shahid . LeT. Kidnapped in POK and beheade

The Gaza war - Part 5. What next ?

- June 10, 2024

Since my last post in April, there have been some significant non military developments in this conflict. Israel’s GDP grew in the 1 st Quarter of 2024 (after a fall in Q4 2023), showing it has shrugged off the effect of war. GDP growth was close to pre war estimates. Iran will elect a new President on 28 th June. His policy may impact Israel’s policy towards Hezbollah. A word about the deployable strength of the IDF : An IDF brigade is barely 2000 personnel (it is lower in an armored brigade), compared to over 3000 in an Indian army brigade. Reserve personnel who have been mobilized and form the bulk of the IDF soldiers in combat in Gaza, cannot be mobilized for more than 60 days. Thus reserve units who have been fighting in Gaza for several months, have deployed only individual battalions of those brigades at any point of time. A particular reserve brigade may be deployed in Gaza on paper, but in reality, only a single battalion (barely 500 personnel) of that brigade ar

Ukraine war - 6. Logistics, Politics and what winter will bring.

- October 05, 2023

So far in this series I have analyzed, with the help of data, developments in the war, to try and understand what happened and why, by discussing the strategic and operational issues that each side has to deal with. In this post, I will talk about what I expect to happen in the next few months. It is said that amateurs discuss strategy and professionals, logistics. Since I haven’t covered logistics, except in passing, so far in this series, I will do so now. There are 2 news items that prompted me to do this: Russia banning the export of diesel & A rail line being built from Donetsk to Mariupol. I will discuss the implications of both later, but first, a reminder of the basic factors that shape this, or any war: - Objectives - Manpower. - Arms, ammunition & logistics. - Political considerations Objectives : I think the most misunderstood part about the Ukraine war, is Russia’s objectives. Invading and occupying Ukraine was never an objective. It was, as President

Search This Blog

DeansMusings

List of articles

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

Is RAW the new Mossad ?

The Gaza war - Part 5. What next ?

Ukraine war - 6. Logistics, Politics and what winter will bring.